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Don’t Just Focus On The Exit
When people look at real estate investments, one number usually gets all the attention IRR You might see 16 percent or 18 percent projected returns and think…
Understanding The Financials
This page walks through a real estate profit and loss statement the way you would review a patient chart, line by line and input by input. We explain what each number represents, where optimism tends to creep in, and how small changes can materially affect outcomes. Understanding the financials is critical before evaluating any real estate investment.
Revenue
Gross Rental Income
Total rent collected if every unit were occupied and paying in full. This is a theoretical maximum, not actual income.What to question
- Are rents above current market comparisons
- Is rent growth assumed immediately or gradually
Vacancy and Credit Loss
Estimated income lost due to vacant units or unpaid rent.What to question
- Is vacancy lower than market averages
- Does vacancy decline unrealistically over time
Other Income
Non rent income such as parking, laundry, pet fees, or storage.What to question
- Is this income already being generated today
- Are assumptions supported by comparable properties
Effective Gross Income
Revenue after vacancy and credit loss are deducted. This is a more realistic measure of income than gross rent alone.What to question
- Does this grow faster than local market fundamentals
Operating Expenses
Repairs and Maintenance
Ongoing costs required to keep the property functional.What to question
- Are expenses artificially low early in the hold
- Do costs increase over time or stay flat
Property Management
Fees paid for day to day operations, leasing, and oversight.What to question
- Is the fee below market norms
- Are self management assumptions realistic long term
Property Taxes
Taxes assessed by local jurisdictions based on property value.What to question
- Are post acquisition reassessments modeled
- Are tax increases capped or assumed away
Insurance
Costs to insure the property against casualty and liability.What to question
- Are premiums consistent with recent market conditions
- Is insurance inflation reflected over the hold period
Utilities
Expenses for water, sewer, electric, gas, and trash.What to question
- Are utilities understated relative to property size and age
- Is tenant reimbursement realistically assumed
Reserves
Capital set aside for future repairs and replacements.What to question
- Are reserves funded annually
- Are large capital items deferred beyond the hold period
Net Operating Income (NOI)
Income after operating expenses and before debt service. NOI is a key driver of value and exit pricing.Why it matters
NOI is what cap rates are applied to at exit, making it one of the most important numbers in the model.Financing and Cash Flow
Debt Service
Loan payments including principal and interest.
What to question
- Is the loan fixed or floating
- Are interest rate caps and extensions realistically modeled
Cash Flow to Investors
Income remaining after expenses and debt obligations.
What to question
- Are distributions dependent on refinancing
- How does cash flow perform under conservative assumptions
Exit Assumptions
Exit Cap Rate
The capitalization rate used to estimate the future sale price.
Sponsors can materially inflate projected returns by assuming an aggressive exit cap rate. Even small changes here can have an outsized impact on IRR and equity multiples.
What to question
- Is the exit cap lower than the entry cap
- Does it assume stronger market conditions than today
Why This Matters
Many deals look compelling because of optimistic projections rather than strong fundamentals. Understanding each line item and how it can be influenced helps investors evaluate opportunities with clarity and discipline.
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